AFL Debate Club: Is the umpire dissent rule worth keeping? What are the Power Rankings? Any chance they can be 3-1 heading into the Q-Clash? Hawthorn We dont know if theyre on Geelongs level but they may not have to be until a Grand Final. Previous ranking: 17. Have the Lions fallen out of flag contention? Just what Robert Harvey needed! Stocks up, stocks down: Long live King Charles; Swans choke at home, again! Head to ESPN's Home of AFL, 16. Drag the images into the order you would like. This week's opponent: GWS (Marvel Stadium), 12. Their defence continues to stand up and their midfield can match it with the best. Good but incredibly inconsistent teams at will just miss finals . AFL Debate Club: The tribunal is 'no longer fit for purpose', AFL Debate Club: The league went soft on Pickett (and McAdam), We've been looking for the Pies' downturn, but they may be better in 2023, Dangerfield has 'no worries' about Cats' 'hunger' for back-to-back flags, Geelong made the blueprint: how footy's best teams stay good, ESPN's Top 20 Must-Watch AFL Players for 2023: 10-1, ESPN's Top 20 Must-Watch AFL Players for 2023: 20-11, Brad Scott, the 'blank canvas', and why 2023 feels 'a lot different' for Zach Merrett, Bontempelli: Dogs ready to debut "scary" tall forward line, ESPN's AFL Coaching Pressure Power Rankings for 2023, Every club's make or break for season 2023, Selwood to help Melbourne through stormy period, AFL Draft 2022 - Every club's draft haul rated. The 2008 Geelong team is the best team I have seen not to go on and hold up the trophy in September. It was bound to happen eventually right? 5. 2021 record: 9-11 2021 record: 3-2 4 Brisbane Many experts rate them as one of the greatest sides of all time and rightly so. There's something about playing the Swans, too - another close loss! Essendon Previous ranking: 9. I have reviewed AFL/VFL history over the last 60 years to isolate clubs who have reached a level of success that no fair-minded supporter has any right to complain about. Adelaide Next game: Western Bulldogs at UTAS Stadium, Sunday early. In five of the last six years the team that won the 1st vs 4th qualifying final has lost its home preliminary final - in the same time frame, the 2nd vs 3rd qualifying final winner is 4-2 in its home prelim. 2021 record: 10-10 In 2019, the Sydney Swans was the Australian Football League club which had the most supporters, with their support base reaching 1.1 million. The Suns werent going to get a better opportunity to beat West Coast in WA than that, and the margin shouldve been much bigger - based on Champion Datas Expected Score metric, if Gold Coast had kicked for goal at an average level they wouldve won by 10 goals instead of five. For the first time since Round 6, Port Adelaide are in the top four of the Power Rankings. Previous ranking: 14. The Crows were agonisingly close to completing their second-half comeback and knocking off Fremantle. Geelong. What do we also want? Next game: North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium, Sunday twilight. There were shades of the 'Kyle Reimers' game about the Suns' loss to the Dogs there for a while. 2021 record: 14-4-1 Good. 1988 Premiers MP 142.3per cent 2021 record: 1-4 We hate having the Bulldogs fourth; they cant possibly be the fourth-best team right now, right?! Josh Dunkley's 'rock bottom': 'Was told to jump off a bridge', 5. Can they beat Geelong in Geelong? Again - the margins between success and failure for the top four or five teams this year are so, so tight. 1972 Premiers MP 134.3per cent Next game: GWS Giants at the MCG, Saturday afternoon. But surely at some point this club wont be in the midst of an injury crisis. Gutsy stuff from the Suns, who are just too young and too inexperienced to put together a full season of work. Small wins, right? 2. 2021 record: 1-4 They've gone from top eight smokey, to likely finalist, to now being a top four contender! Or does he not care about draft picks considering he won't be using them? 2012 Runner-Up MP 154.6, Alastair Clarkson (Photo by Cameron Spencer/AFL Photos/via Getty Images). You must provide an email address to create a Roar account, When using Facebook to create or log in to an account, you need to grant The Roar permission to see your email address, By joining The Roar you agree to our Privacy Policy and Terms & Conditions. 2013 Premiers MP 135.7 Previous ranking: 6. GWS The average salary of an AFL men's player on the primary list in 2020 was $259,651, down from $363,430 in 2019, which will revert in 2022 as the salary cap expands once more and clubs can shift . Otherwise theyre just the best of the rest. Drag the images into the order you would like. This week's opponent: Adelaide (Adelaide Oval), 6. Next game: Adelaide Crows at the MCG, Saturday afternoon. The numbers below are basically how well a team performs, both on the offensive and defensive side of things, in a particular season, adjusted for how excellent or otherwise that performance was in the context of the season. Captured a great grassroots sporting moment? And from there, well, weve seen what they can do as underdogs against Geelong in a qualifying final, havent we? There are nine clubs in total. Hawthorn This week's opponent: West Coast (GMHBA Stadium), 8. They missed one of their great chances this year to record a win but more will come; were not worried about a repeat of last years 0-8 start. This week's opponent: Port Adelaide (Adelaide Oval), 14. 2021 record: 13-7 Download ESPN from Google Play Store Role players are battling manfully (Nick Hind has been a great pickup), the kids are doing their part, but the so-called stars have been anything but in 2021, as ESPN columnist Rohan Connolly pointed out this week. Previous ranking: 13. Get AFL news and more in your inbox Or has it thrown up some interesting findings? Jake Michaels summed it up on the ESPN Footy Podcast this week they're too inconsistent given the talent they have available, and Leon Cameron should almost be thankful to still be in a job. There are six quarters of evidence that 2021 Richmond is the Richmond everyone thinks it is: the dominant Round 5 thumping of St Kilda, and the second half against the Western Bulldogs. AFL Rookie Rankings: An historic start for a bumper draft class, One win after four games but don't write the Tigers off yet, AFL Draft Power Rankings: Harley Reid leads the top 20 prospects, AFL Draft: Five must-watch prospects in 2023. Share your Tier List. San Francisco 49ers: 584 Points (0 points gained) Were not saying that proves Port Adelaide is better - were happy to put some respect on the Magpies name after their winning streak - but theyre not much worse. This week's opponent: Brisbane (Marvel Stadium), 12. Whos in your ultimate team? 3. Good. The Sydney Derby is quickly becoming the best match-up in footy in terms of watchability. The Eagles would need to lose by at least 100 points to have any chance of dropping below North Melbourne on percentage and earning Pick 1. It's a battle of the 'one-and-fours' this week on Anzac Day - excuse us if we hit up the RSL raffles instead. 2021 record: 6-14 Green Bay Packers: 802 Points (16 points gained) 2. 4. 1975 Runner-Up MP 137.3per cent, Carlton Set a deposit limit. Next game: St Kilda at Marvel Stadium, Sunday twilight, Watch every blockbuster AFL match this weekend Live & Ad-Break Free In-Play on Kayo. A big three sits atop the flag race but the ladder is so tight, theyre not the only ones who can win it. Of course, the Eagles lost to North Melbourne last year. Were not going to say its inevitable that David Teague will be coaching next year because the review will say hes doing a fine job because theyre going to finish on nine or 10 wins thanks to a kind remaining fixture but thats what were expecting at this point. Held goalless for most of the first half, things could have been much uglier. The 2008 Geelong team is the best team I . This week's opponent: Adelaide (UTAS Stadium), 15. This week's opponent: St Kilda (Marvel Stadium), 5. Bulldogs . Maybe that everyone is against us feeling can spur them onto a win, and then a home prelim? No team in the last four seasons have been able to match them in the second half of the season or in September. They need to sort something out, and if we know anything about Luke Beveridge, its that hes happy to move the magnets to unexpected positions. It seems Essendon is living up to the billing of being a bottom four side this year - especially given they're bottom four in contested possession differential, inside 50 differential and clearances differential. Even though Geelong seems a little lethargic, their home is still a fortress. Previous ranking: 1. 1976 Premiers 2ND 114.2per cent Note: Throughout the year, ESPN will rank all 18 teams, from top to bottom, taking into account which teams are playing the best footy, injuries, each team's recent opponents, and which teams are looking most like flag contenders. Year Result Ladder Home and away (percentage) As frequent readers of this column know, weve been Richmond believers for a while - the whole being 9-8 with a draw after three winless weeks thing forced us to drop them a bit - and when you look at the big picture its not hard to see why opposition clubs might be frightened of them come September. Oops! A 57-point win over the Bombers in teeming rain was a strong rebound from losing to the Western Bulldogs in Ballarat the week before. We hate this. This week's opponent: Hawthorn (UTAS Stadium), 3. Note: this ladder is updated at the end of each round. Just tell us who you are to view your results ! Ranking every AFL after-the-siren winning goal since 2000. 2. Josh Rachele giving them some much-needed forward line X-factor is a clear tick. Up into second and in the box seat to host a qualifying final, their closest win over this purple patch was by 17 points (aka a blowout in a Collingwood game). Next game: Richmond at the MCG, Saturday night. That column didnt do too well for 2022, because there werent any outliers in 2021 on the scale of Port Adelaide or Collingwood this year. This means that we can expect roughly two thirds of all AFL scores to fall within one standard deviation of an average, and 97 per cent to fall within two. 3 Hawthorn Very strong percentage home and away seasons year after year tells the story. After two years of relative good fortune, the Power copped a bunch of bad luck all at once on Saturday night, losing a close game in the home and away season for the first time since 2019 while losing several key players to injuries. Throw in the draw against Freo, and theyre three goals from being undefeated since Anzac Day. 15. Is Stuart Dew under pressure? Next game: Carlton at the MCG, Sunday afternoon. The Crows have seriously delivered for the neutral fan over the last six weeks, playing five consecutive close games - pipping Melbourne and St Kilda, and just losing to Collingwood and Carlton (the 28-point Richmond loss was much closer than that sounds). Bouncing around in that band of teams between 7 and 12 in the rankings is Freo after a strong win over the Tigers at home. As an economist, Ryan seeks to fix the world's economic troubles one graph at a time. Previous ranking: 3. featured alongside some of Australias most prominent sports journalists. 2001 Premiers 2ND 127.6 We would love to have seen them really put their foot down in the second half, but alas, a 62-point win is still a fine effort. Is this where this group peaks? Chicago Bears: 640 Points (4 points gained) 5. 2021 record: 6-13 Theyre still working things out, and thats fine. AFL 2023: ESPN's way-too-early predictions - Can the Cats go again? Just one more week, Kangaroos fans, then youre into that blissful period of optimism known as the off-season. While other teams faltered, the Lions won, and won well. 2009 Premiers 2ND 127.4 Is it the Cats' premiership to lose this year? What we expect, and what happens in the data, is that around two thirds of team performances fall within this one band, and 97 per cent fall within two. Theyve only won two games in a row once this year, against lowly Hawthorn and Gold Coast, so if they can beat Collingwood this weekend well give them some more respect. Previous ranking: 1. This post-bye improvement is a real thing now. But how much of that was their Sam Walsh-less midfield exploiting Richmonds weakness once Dion Prestia went down? 2021 record: 8-11 Adelaide . But they did just lose to Geelong, and we think their win over West Coast was less of an upset than most appear to (though we certainly didnt tip that margin). Years ago, that sentence would send a shiver down one's spine, but it's 2021, and the Hawks are not that great. Port Adelaide Have the Tigers over-achieved? 2019 Premiers 3RD 113.7 AFL 2023: ESPN's way-too-early predictions - Can the Cats go again? Fremantle Driveaway for ABN Holders. Things got a little bit wobbly in the middle of Sundays game but the Hawks managed to exploit their clear advantages - especially once Norths Ben McKay went down - to get an important first-up win. This week's opponent: Geelong (GMHBA Stadium), 10. Previous ranking: 5. Inconsistent to the point where it's frustrating to even watch them, their win over Geelong just left us thinking 'where has this been all year'? Its a little bit whos hot and whos not; part predictive, part analysis of whats happened. Good luck, David Teague. 1968 Premiers 2ND 130.4per cent Next game: Port Adelaide at Marvel Stadium, Saturday night. GWS Has anything changed in our minds after their loss to the Giants? Wed obviously have more faith in Carlton beating Fremantle this week if they dont play it in Perth, but theyve won three consecutive meetings against the Dockers including two in WA anyway, so it remains possible. If they beat Carlton theyll make the top four, and clearly they can give anyone a fright in the finals, but now that theyre actually playing quality opposition every week lets see how they fare. 2021 record: 8-12 Beat St Kilda to keep slim finals hopes alive? Richmond Well, we had to be right at some point if we kept writing Collingwood will lose someday, we promise. This week's opponent: Western Bulldogs (Manuka Oval), 14. Theyve already played the Dogs pretty well for a few years and if that midfield gets on top of the Dogs well-regarded group, then were looking at a legitimate finals contender at Princes Park. Note: Throughout the year, ESPN will rank all 18 teams, from top to bottom, taking into account which teams are playing the best footy, injuries, . 1967 Premiers MP 145.9per cent Well weve just been burned by them too many times this year. Can they continue to carry veterans like Marc Murphy, Levi Casboult, and Ed Curnow for much longer? AFL: Boring Blues, dismal Dockers, Ross Lyon, and hard-to-believe stats. Stocks up, stocks down: Long live King Charles; Swans choke at home, again! Round table -- New rules? They're almost lucky they're not on the bottom this week. Up one spot only? If they can make the top two theyre a definite flag contender because beating them at the Gabba is extremely difficult, however the Lions are 0-3 against the top eight in games played outside of Brisbane. Next game: Adelaide Crows at Adelaide Oval, Saturday night. Next game: Adelaide Crows at Adelaide Oval, Saturday twilight 3. 2. An unexpected win? Previous ranking: 9. ), add it up and thats an 80% chance one upset happens. No. Port Adelaide Footy fans feel almost cheated when their club has an amazing year or two and then falls away into insignificance in a very fast manner. Or just want to know which team you're most suited to? 8. 5. They caught Geelong at a pretty good time, off the back of two other primetime blockbusters with contenders, but it was another reminder of how damn impressive this team can be. Thats how fine the margins are. AFL Debate Club: The tribunal is 'no longer fit for purpose', AFL Debate Club: The league went soft on Pickett (and McAdam), We've been looking for the Pies' downturn, but they may be better in 2023, Dangerfield has 'no worries' about Cats' 'hunger' for back-to-back flags, Geelong made the blueprint: how footy's best teams stay good, ESPN's Top 20 Must-Watch AFL Players for 2023: 10-1, ESPN's Top 20 Must-Watch AFL Players for 2023: 20-11, Brad Scott, the 'blank canvas', and why 2023 feels 'a lot different' for Zach Merrett, Bontempelli: Dogs ready to debut "scary" tall forward line, ESPN's AFL Coaching Pressure Power Rankings for 2023, Every club's make or break for season 2023, Selwood to help Melbourne through stormy period, AFL Draft 2022 - Every club's draft haul rated. Patrick Dangerfield out for two months because he's having ankle surgery? . And the entire game was a big tick for Justin Longmuirs strategic nous - he remains underrated in the wider footy community. We take wins and losses into account, but also the quality of opposition faced and whether teams are likely to get healthier or improve going forward. St Kilda, Collingwood, Fremantle and Hawthorn all had very strong line-ups. Previous ranking: 7. This week's opponent: Gold Coast (Marvel Stadium), 11. 2021 record: 15-5 This week's opponent: Geelong (GMHBA Stadium), 14. 1979 Premiers MP 139.6 Next game: Essendon at Marvel Stadium, Saturday twilight. During this period there was another two standout teams so this result could have been even greater if it wasnt for Essendon and Carlton. In Live 1 the higher the difficulty the more degree of randomness the game added to the hook on the kick. We want to see it! Matt Rowell and Izak Rankine both looked like theyve taken a step forward. This week's opponent: Sydney (Metricon Stadium), 18. Love the AFL? The rivalry matches continue, however, with the undefeated Bulldogs visiting the nation's capital, and we know it's hard for teams to 'get up' for consecutive rivalry games what did Mick Malthouse call it? AFL Debate Club: The tribunal is 'no longer fit for purpose', AFL Debate Club: The league went soft on Pickett (and McAdam), We've been looking for the Pies' downturn, but they may be better in 2023, Dangerfield has 'no worries' about Cats' 'hunger' for back-to-back flags, Geelong made the blueprint: how footy's best teams stay good, ESPN's Top 20 Must-Watch AFL Players for 2023: 10-1, ESPN's Top 20 Must-Watch AFL Players for 2023: 20-11, Brad Scott, the 'blank canvas', and why 2023 feels 'a lot different' for Zach Merrett, Bontempelli: Dogs ready to debut "scary" tall forward line, ESPN's AFL Coaching Pressure Power Rankings for 2023, Every club's make or break for season 2023, Selwood to help Melbourne through stormy period, AFL Draft 2022 - Every club's draft haul rated. Groundhog Day: Why should we care about the Suns? Freo . First off - how good was that game?! featured alongside some of Australias most prominent sports journalists. 2021 record: 14-5 A semifinal berth last year has morphed into a disappointing 2021 when many thought they'd be able to take the next step and knock on the door of the top four. Port . But with no minor premierships and no Home and away above 137per cent, I cannot place them any higher. My evaluation isnt simply based on the number of premierships, it includes grand final appearances and how dominant these clubs were in their home and away seasons. It'll be fascinating to see the final seedings when the season is done and dusted. There were certainly a few mistakes but they werent why Essendon lost that game. Essendon Sure theres some young talent, but still nowhere near enough, and from a list profile perspective theyre building for success now. Crowds are back in Victoria! And that upset gets Freo into fourth. This week's opponent: North Melbourne (Marvel Stadium), 6. In Perth. ranking my favourite to least favourite afl teams - YouTube AboutPressCopyrightContact usCreatorsAdvertiseDevelopersTermsPrivacyPolicy & SafetyHow YouTube worksTest new features 2022. Richmond bullied St Kilda, and we saw a sustained ruthlessness from the Tigers we don't always seem to see. What are the Power Rankings? Next game: Fremantle at Optus Stadium, Sunday night. Become a member to join in Australia's biggest sporting debate, submit articles, receive updates straight to your inbox and keep up with your favourite teams and authors. Can they make a run of it? The Mexico national football team plays its home games at the Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. 2021 record: 8-10-1 This isnt analytical at all but its just really nice to have a watchable rebuilding team. Get AFL news and more in your inbox A win this week on Anzac Day would alleviate some angst, but not even that is a given against an equally poor Bombers outfit. Collingwood 2021 record: 9-11 For all of the concerns about their attack, theyre averaging 87 points across the course of the season and 87.2 points over the last five weeks which includes games against 11th, 9th, 8th, 6th and 5th, so theyre not that far off their season-long pace (even if its been pretty ugly). You would like to think, for West Coasts sake, that Round 1 will be the low point of their season. As an American whose never lived in an Australian city and has no connections to any city, and also no favorite team, but just enjoys the sport: Love: none . 2021 record: 15-5 It guarantees another year of growing their win total. Previous ranking: 15. Furthermore, over the very long run Ive looked at every match score between 1980 and 2013 AFL match scores are normally distributed. Geelong Gold Coast Suns If Team A is above Team B, wed probably tip A to beat B at a neutral venue this weekend. They're arguably the most interesting team in the top four, but we're not running a "Most Interesting Power Rankings". No team with a percentage as bad as theirs has ever made the top four (in the top eight era) and then beaten a team above them on the ladder in the finals. 2021 record: 8-11 17. Previous ranking: 13. Still, they have the AFLs best percentage and look bound for a top-two finish, given theyve got an easier run home than Melbourne and are virtually two wins ahead of Brisbane, Geelong and Port Adelaide. In saying that, looking at these high level numbers Ive found the average points scored per team over the course of a season is remarkably stable: approximately 2,055 points +/- 47 points over the decade. Yuck. All eyes will be on Buddy but thatll just allow the evergreen Tom Hawkins - who has nearly kicked more goals past the age of 30 than Franklin, despite being 18 months younger - to fly under the radar a bit. While a loss for the Cats and the Bulldogs hasn't really changed too much for them at this point, Sydney's loss to St Kilda has. Stream selected Fox Footy shows on Kayo Freebies completely free this June including AFL 360, On The Couch, Bounce & more. Previous ranking: 11. Its almost impossible to pick the premiership favourite right now; you can make a valid case for all four of our top four-ranked sides. a tastier adventures brand An exciting opening round full of match-ups between like types has given us quite a bit of insight into where everyone sits - with a handful of surprises.
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